A List Of Things Thrown Five Minutes Ago

WHO WANTS TO BE MARISA TOMEI? To open our week of Oscar coverage, I offer the following game--pick an upset. As I've said before, this year's awards are looking like they'll be eminently predictable, especially in the top categories (though the supporting categories have favorites--Clooney and Weisz--they're not locked up by any means). So, taking the complete nominee list, pick some upsets and justify your answer. Mine?

• Good Night and Good Luck over Brokeback Mountain for Best Cinematography. The black and white photography is a huge part of making the movie what it is.
• George Clooney over Ang Lee for Best Director. This is the only really tenable "big category" win for Good Night and Good Luck, and gives a great chance to recognize Hollywood's poster boy for the year.
• Enron: The Smartest Guys In The Room over March of the Penguins for Best Documentary Feature. Anything beating the Penguins would be a shocker, but I think that Enron, with its timely subject matter and not-overbearing political message, would have the best shot.