Friday, May 29, 2015

EVEN-STEVEN:  The 2015 Scripps National Spelling Bee ended in a tie. So did the 2014 Bee.

Whether this is a problem, to me, isn't for folks like me to decide, because I remain perfectly comfortable saying that we finished with two equally-matched spellers, neither of whom was demonstrably better than the other, and that the only thing which could have determined a sole "winner" last night would have been arbitrary luck—a random, root-less word (Fijian? Welsh?) which one of the pair just hadn't seen before.

To me, it's up to the elite spellers, those of you who once had (and those still competing with) realistic aspirations of winning this thing: is a tie satisfying for you? Would you rather have extended the competition until one speller won, and one lost?  Because if the spellers are fine with ties, so am I.

Let's suppose we wanted to yield One True Winner, however. Obviously, one option is to have a longer, even unlimited Championship Words List. Have them spell-til-they-drop, all night long, until one random word trips someone up.

But I also want to point to two ways in which the Bee's structure may now be making ties more likely, and which could be modified:

The use of written tests to eliminate spellers, rather than additional live rounds in the afternoon, increases the likelihood that the best-of-the-best are the ones who make it through to primetime, while affording said students some margin for early error. Twenty-four was a perfect score in the semifinals multiple choice tests;  Vanya and Gokul scored 18 points each. (Heck: every student spelled at least one word wrong in the spelling semifinals, including two errors from Vanya; twelve kids did better than Gokul on the vocabulary questions.)  The competitors only had four live words to spell in front of a microphone to make it to primetime, one of which was essentially a gimme for every student.

It broke our hearts in 2007 when Samir Patel was eliminated around noon in his final competition on a word like clevis, as it does every time a four-or-five-timer goes down before primetime. (It looks like it was a harder round 5 than yesterday's.) But I do have to wonder if a Bee structured less around written tests and instead posing  more difficult live afternoon rounds would yield fewer super-spellers in primetime, and less likelihood of a tie.

More controversially, the Bee could consider whether the existence of such super-spellers is itself the problem  -- that students competing the national Bee four or five times, in addition to multiple North South Foundation and other events, are just too good for the Bee. (Put another way: that we all would have guessed Vanya and Gokul would be the final two is a bug, not a feature.) What if the rules restricted the National Bee to 6th-8th graders only, or to no more than 2-3 opportunities per student? You'd have finalists who were spending fewer years preparing for the Bee altogether (which may have other salutary effects), and a slightly lower caliber of competitors making its way to National Harbor. Again, I think you'd be more likely to see one winner through this path than the status quo, but whether this is actually a good thing (overall, or even on this specific question of reducing ties) is reasonably disputable.

But on this point, and on salutary effects, I want to go back to something Samir wrote for us in 2011 which has stuck with me -- the flipside of being Vanya and Gokul this morning. What if you're Samir, or Dylan O'Connor, or Katharine Wang?
The Bee, in general, was a lot of fun. There were a lot of 'first' experiences for me -- Scripps does a great job of making Bee Week revolve around socialization and fellowship between the spellers....However, as I kept returning, it definitely did become more 'stressful' and less 'fun' each year. [In either '06 or '07, during the actual competition days, all I ate -- for ALL of the competition days -- was a bag of Doritos and a can of Coke. That's how stressed I was.] That's definitely a result of me growing up and the media paying so much attention to me, not because of anything Scripps did. ... 
[I]n the spelling bee, there are words you do know and words you won't -- in '05, '06, and '07, I knew every word in the Bee except for the ones I missed.... Having all this pressure on me to perform definitely affected my enjoyment of the bee. In the first three years, I was sort of just riding the wave, enjoying the experience and the attention and the success. Even in '04 when I went out in the 5th round, I wasn't too terribly disappointed. But in '06 and '07, I was under a tremendous amount of pressure -- from myself, from the media, from even my family and friends. As I'd grown up a bit, I was taking the whole Bee more seriously -- you can easily see my personality change from watching the '03 and '07 bees.   
In '07, after I missed on 'clevis' and met my dad in the comfort room, I was actually okay -- I'd gotten so fed up with the whole thing that I was just glad it was over. I desperately wanted to win, but at that point in time, I was honestly just relieved I'd never have to study spelling again. 
Something to think about.

Thursday, May 28, 2015

WELCOME TO THE 2015 NATIONAL SPELLING BEE CHAMPIONSHIP ROUNDS: (liveblog archived below the fold)

O-U-T-R-A-G-E-D:  Look, there was a lot of tsuris in 2010 when the Bee hacked an afternoon round in half to have a suitable number for primetime. It was worth exploring ways to fix it.

But this is worse.  Much worse. Because (a) once you get to Thursday, all decisions should be made based on how kids do at a live microphone, and (b) even if you were to use some additional test to make a final cut, publishing its results before the spelling is done robs so much suspense from the rounds, especially for those kids (and their families) who know that not only do they not control their own destinies but they have no ability to make the finals no matter what.

A superior solution is simple: keep having afternoon rounds until you finish a round with 15 or fewer spellers.  

Bee organizers have enough experience with word difficulty to know how to titrate a round to eliminate a particular percentage of spellers, more or less. It's not rocket surgery. We know what a Bloodbath rounds looks like. And whether you have 15 kids in primetime or start the evening with 8, it's fine: because they will be the best kids in spelling words in front of a live microphone, which is what the Bee is.  Or was..

Instead, about 176/283 spellers were eliminated without getting a word wrong in front of a microphone.  The kids don't get that drama, and moment, and we don't get to see it. Nor do we get the flipside: while the finalists have now spelled/defined 54 words in making their way to the finals, we've only seen four of them.  We don't know who's the most impressive the bunch, and we don't get to know the kids as well as we used to, back when 6-7 live rounds were held on Wednesday-Thursday before the primetime finals.  Instead, just four rounds, with today's having weird, icky inevitability hanging over them.

This can, and must change.
ROUND SIX:  Here we go.

12:01 PM--Ouch--more-PHIL-axis takes down a competitor on a tough double consonant.

12:06 PM.  Pretty sure Jenna-May could have gotten that one if she weren't up against the clock.

12:07 PM.  Is there a worse origin for a speller than "From a ____ name?"

12:10 PM.  Difficulty here seems all over the place.  RAY-all-pahl-e-teek seems a little easy for this round, right?

12:21 PM.  Vanya is just an absolute pro.  Never loses her cool.

12:43 PM.  Does Dr. Bailly's use of "selfie" legitimate the word?

12:50 PM.  Who had "reference to Sbarro" in the pool?  They just made out like a bandit.

1 PM.  "From a native name in Australia" might be even nastier than a normal "from a ____ name" origin.

1:17 PM.  Ankita's excitement is infectious, isn't it?
GOOD MORNING, VICTOR SUTTON:  And welcome to round 5. 49 spellers remain; two rounds of spelling today before the second, and final test-based cut.

The Bee has published the semifinalists' scores; those who aren't in the top twelve here do not control their destiny, but need others above them to err.  Sigh.

10:20am: gla-SWEEJ-uhn, gla-SWEE-jee-uhn, oh, I am a sucker for adjectival forms of places.  4/6 so far.

10:37am: And the Jamaican goes down!  10/14 through so far, but, again, anyone not on the front page of the scoreboard likely isn't advancing no matter what.

10:40am: Vanya gets ... consomme? Really? (And after pistachio and balletomane.) The Dominic Errazo Award is very much in play here.

11:11am: Marsha helps us track the scoreboard in livetime.

11:51am: I cannot complain more loudly as to how much publishing the rankings table robs these rounds of suspense, as we know who the no-hope kids are.  (And, for what it's worth, they're the ones who are erring this round.)  I hope this is a one-year experiment, never to be repeated.

Wednesday, May 27, 2015

DAILY BUZZ:  Some bullets:
"The Semifinals Test has 26 multiple choice items divided in four sections, with spellers identifying their responses on Scantron test forms. A speller receives one point for each of the 12 items identified correctly in the Round Four Spelling section, one point for each of the 12 items identified correctly in the Round Four Vocabulary section, three points for a correct answer to the single item in the Round Five Vocabulary section, and three points for a correct answer to the single item in the Round Six Vocabulary section. 
"During the morning of Thursday, May 28 the Bee will email Semifinals Test score reports to Semifinalist spellers and their parents."
added:  Vox talks to Nupur Lala, Uncle Spike, and three former winners who don't sometimes show up here to talk about the Bee.

      THE 2015 SPELLING BEE POOL: Forty-nine amazing spellers remain.

      Our rules are similar to those in years past -- we have one remaining five-timer (Vanya Shivashankar), and three spellers returning for their fourth year (Gokul Venkatachalam, Dylan O'Connor Katharine Wang). The use of these veterans will be restricted.

      So: pick two spellers, only one of whom can be one of the four spellers above. While individual spellers can be used more than once, you cannot repeat the same pairing that someone else has already submitted. First come, first served, and you cannot choose a speller once s/he spells tomorrow morning.

      You will get one point for each word your spellers correctly spell during tomorrow's rounds of the Bee, which resumes at 10am eastern on ESPN2. In addition, each speller will receive an additional point for reaching primetime, to account for the computer-based cutoff after tomorrow's three live rounds. Most points wins; tiebreaker will be whoever has the individual speller going the furthest. Do not edit your entry after you've made it; if you need to make corrections, reply to your original comment.

      It's my blog, so I go first: Gokul Venkatachalam, the vet who went the longest last year, and Sara-Beth McPherson, the 26th and final Jamaican national champion coached by the late Rev. Glen Archer. [I came really close to picking Tejas Muthusamy, but I cannot bring myself to picking a sixth-grader.]


      Previous pool winners are Elicia Chamberlin in 2006 (Close/Hooks), Professor Jeff and Amy tied in 2007 (O'Dorney and Thomas/Horton), KJ in 2008 (Mishra/K Shivashankar), Cagey (K Shivashankar/Pastapur) in 2009, Bob Loblaw/Jenn tied in 2010 (Veeramani and Chemudupaty/Denniss); 2011's winner was Nupur Lala (the Roy/Ye Keystone combo); Bobby in 2012 (Nandipati/Mahankali); Sara Miller in 2013 (Mahankali/Sivakumar), and Bobby again in 2014 (Venkatachalam/Hathwar).