Monday, April 15, 2013

YOU WILL:  Have you ever wanted to go back to those 1993 ads which predicted the future would include faxing from the beach, driving through toll plazas without stopping (by swiping a credit card in your car?), and videoconferencing, all brought to you by AT&T?  You will.

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  1. The Pathetic Earthling12:03 PM

    Really pretty close to the mark, all told.


    It's been pointed out that before about 1960, there had been scores of science fiction stories, movies and TV shows about man landing on the Moon for the first time. Not one of them ever suggested that the first steps on the moon would be broadcast live on television.

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  2. Jordan12:59 PM

    More importantly, these are Fincher! Puts the Social Network into a whole new light.

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  3. I often refer to these in my professional life in support of the proposition that our predictions about future technologies are almost always overdetermined by our knowledge regarding current technologies. Even when we work hard to think outside the box, we're inclined to assume a lot about today's technologies being extended rather than supplanted (helloooo, Schumpeter).

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  4. Jordan2:24 PM

    I had a professor freshman year of college who liked to remind us that Moore's Law, when applied broadly, prevents us from making accurate predictions about future technologies, since things move so quickly that anything X years in the future will be determined by advancement Y, Z years from now (where Z is a period of time between now and X). Which is to say you can't accurately predict mobile internet devices when your frame of reference is fax machines.

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  5. Exactly. Which is why it's so impressive when people (usually science fiction authors get things right, the way that Stephenson and Gibson kind of predicted the Internet.

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